Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.071165 0.078897 0.087389 0.097453 0.109117 0.122285 0.138380
2024-10-27 0.059023 0.069349 0.081620 0.097467 0.117679 0.142993 0.177757
2024-11-03 0.051608 0.063429 0.078380 0.099099 0.127776 0.167196 0.227630
2024-11-10 0.046182 0.058832 0.075659 0.100393 0.137132 0.192049 0.285497
2024-11-17 0.041567 0.054489 0.072390 0.100015 0.143601 0.213760 0.345263
2024-11-24 0.038367 0.051580 0.070562 0.101188 0.152319 0.240748 0.423571
2024-12-01 0.035763 0.049151 0.069014 0.102370 0.161044 0.269703 0.517415
2024-12-08 0.033511 0.046959 0.067484 0.103224 0.169195 0.299582 0.627184
2024-12-15 0.031382 0.044716 0.065574 0.103067 0.175337 0.327024 0.745645
2024-12-22 0.029306 0.042348 0.063182 0.101673 0.178735 0.349465 0.863966
2024-12-29 0.028104 0.041252 0.062754 0.103733 0.189460 0.391979 1.072739
2025-01-05 0.026413 0.039214 0.060511 0.102047 0.191865 0.414857 1.233744
2025-01-12 0.025288 0.038048 0.059713 0.103148 0.200927 0.459170 1.523353
2025-01-19 0.023993 0.036501 0.058097 0.102410 0.205652 0.493512 1.812674
2025-01-26 0.023116 0.035601 0.057567 0.103833 0.215967 0.549254 2.292379
2025-02-02 0.022289 0.034724 0.056991 0.105074 0.226147 0.609643 2.916299
2025-02-09 0.021326 0.033535 0.055717 0.104616 0.231764 0.657248 3.566575
2025-02-16 0.020635 0.032786 0.055222 0.105838 0.242360 0.729565 4.639065
2025-02-23 0.019998 0.032090 0.054764 0.107082 0.253392 0.810772 6.139151
2025-03-02 0.019371 0.031369 0.054195 0.107985 0.263691 0.896148 8.178727
2025-03-09 0.018683 0.030492 0.053235 0.107817 0.270654 0.971325 10.642670
2025-03-16 0.017920 0.029430 0.051816 0.106336 0.273049 1.025806 13.259229
2025-03-23 0.017541 0.029074 0.051839 0.108523 0.288502 1.165012 20.048358